Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 104.763020 120.462721 138.964360 162.722236 192.943498 230.861479 2.833262e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 81.850903 100.304113 124.323388 159.017267 209.986505 286.143522 4.179985e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 70.219080 89.527036 116.310788 158.219529 226.622983 344.175430 5.936737e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 62.794753 82.499504 111.212588 159.136643 244.711895 412.009257 8.507994e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 55.846114 74.880331 103.573822 153.719920 249.462262 456.850718 1.113934e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 52.900037 72.641357 103.623928 160.904412 280.026851 576.891580 1.842228e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.312592 67.268071 97.731165 155.999664 283.866681 633.982924 2.515434e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.453611 64.268289 95.319101 157.068969 301.467921 746.451775 4.113431e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.494510 60.785177 91.587564 154.722650 310.079682 839.587489 6.556481e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.835907 60.995661 94.364355 166.369837 360.289741 1162.541350 2.430051e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.042798 62.660839 100.009439 185.775417 445.065259 1869.558250 6.976754e+07
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.878404 59.975106 96.979446 184.240008 462.046783 2223.074061 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.556209 57.049481 93.601054 182.417346 482.746327 2768.379732 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.188817 53.883216 89.455154 178.043478 493.282717 3339.372304 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.394781 51.602162 86.831998 177.102246 518.512627 4390.509551 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.957188 49.851606 85.091556 178.184394 554.928955 6280.347809 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.089234 47.146338 81.016704 171.800140 551.582057 7342.630714 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.477119 46.773259 81.942003 180.271663 634.923864 15489.256289 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.940962 44.503223 78.420835 174.484972 632.997176 19696.996832 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.992935 43.314240 77.214232 175.745345 677.820534 39526.708501 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.872163 41.710245 74.901419 172.980665 694.758799 71089.617712 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.782704 42.143245 77.351228 186.736414 854.342620 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.083962 43.386834 81.911931 209.827735 1163.610207 NaN NaN